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IMPORTANT WORLD NEWS11

ABOARD A MILITARY AIRCRAFT - Defense Secretary Robert Gates on Monday endorsed efforts to reach out to members of the Taliban or other militants in Afghanistan who may be considered reconcilable, much like what has happened in Iraq.

And he rejected assertions made by a British commander that the Afghan war is not winnable.

Speaking to reporters en route to international meetings in Macedonia and Hungary, Gates said that efforts must be made to determine who is willing to be part of the future of Afghanistan and who is not.

"That is one of the key long-term solutions in Afghanistan, just as it has been in Iraq," said Gates, "Part of the solution is reconciliation with people who are willing to work with the Afghan government going forward."

Those who are not willing to work with the government must be dealt with militarily, he said.

Gates' comments followed revelations that Taliban representatives met with Afghan government officials last month in Saudi Arabia, a former high-level Taliban ambassador said Monday.

Abdul Salam Zaeef, the Taliban's former ambassador to Pakistan, denied the meeting could be construed as peace talks. He said he was invited by Saudi King Abdullah to share Iftar - the meal that breaks the daily fast during the Muslim holy month of Ramadan. Taliban representatives and Afghan government officials were also at the meal.

Asked if such efforts by the Saudi's were welcome, Gates said that whoever can play a constructive role is welcome.

Gates will be meeting with NATO allies in Hungary to discuss future troop, equipment, funding and other contributions to the Afghan war. He said he will be making the argument that those who cannot send troops, or make other commitments, should back the effort by providing money.

The United States has already begun beefing up its troop strength in Afghanistan, with plans to send Marines before the end of the year, and then an Army brigade early next year, with commitments to send as many as three additional brigades in the following months.

"I want to make sure that everybody understands that the increases in U.S. forces are not seen as replacements for NATO contributions," Gates said, adding that he wants allies - both NATO members and those who are not - to continue to send troops to the war, and particularly fill the increased need for more trainers for the Afghan security forces.

Currently the U.S. has 33,000 troops in Afghanistan, including 13,000 with the NATO-led force, and 20,000 fighting the insurgency and training Afghan forces.

Asked about comments made by a British commander, suggesting that the Afghan war cannot be won, Gates offered a more optimistic view.

"While we face some significant challenges in Afghanistan, there certainly is no reason to be defeatist or to underestimate the opportunities to be successful in the long run," he said.

---

 

By LOLITA C. BALDOR Associated Press Writer

FBI warns of potential terror attacks on public buildings

Posted on Monday, October 06, 2008 5:54 PM ET
Filed Under:

By Jim Popkin, NBC News Senior Investigative Producer

The FBI and Department of Homeland Security today issued an analytical "note" to U.S. law-enforcement officials cautioning that al-Qaida terrorists have in the past expressed interest in attacking public buildings using a dozen suicide bombers each carrying 20 kilograms of explosives.

 

Authors with the U.S. Office of Intelligence and Analysis added that they have "no credible or specific information that terrorists are planning operations against public buildings in the United States." The FBI and DHS analysts said they were releasing the note because "it is important for local authorities and building owners and operators to be aware of potential attack tactics."

According to the note obtained by NBC News, a "recently discovered audio recording of al-Qa‘ida training sessions conducted several years ago provides instruction to potential suicide terrorists on seizing a publicly accessible building and damaging or destroying it with explosive charges."

Among the materials on a CD–ROM seized earlier this year by Belgian authorities and provided to Interpol, the note said, "is a detailed audio explanation by now-deceased senior al-Qa‘ida operative Yousef al-Ayeeri of a method taught in an al-Qa‘ida training camp for attacking a publicly accessible building. Interpol believes the Arabic-language recording was made shortly before al-Ayeeri’s death in 2003."

Saudi security forces killed al-Ayeeri in 2003.

The Audiotape:
The FBI and DHS said al-Ayeeri's audiotape walks potential suicide bombers through the following scenario:

"Once a target is selected, al-Ayeeri recommends assembling a team of 12 individuals, each armed with an assault rife and grenade and carrying approximately 20 kilograms of explosives. The attackers are to storm the building, seal off escape and access points, and occupy it long enough to set and detonate their explosive packages. Al-Ayeeri stressed the importance of carrying out these steps before law enforcement can respond, even if notified early in the attack. He assumes the attackers will be killed during the operation," the FBI note said.

The instructional audiotape continued:

"Al-Ayeeri believed attackers would be able to enter many publicly accessible buildings easily with little or no resistance from often poorly trained and lightly armed or unarmed security guards, and that an explosion from inside the building would be particularly effective."

In the unclassified report, the analysts added that, "if each of the 12 attackers’ 20 kg charge is combined into a single large bomb, it would have more explosive power than the truck bomb used in the 1983 Beirut Embassy attack. Terrorists to date have not conducted attacks on public buildings using the full range of tactics covered in al-Ayeeri’s training."

Since 9-11, the FBI and DHS have issued hundreds of similar warnings and bulletins to law-enforcement officials, cautioning them about potential terrorist attacks. Critics have said that some of the scenarios seem implausible, including warnings about teams of scuba-diving bombers and terrorists' use of prosthetic devices that would allow women to hide explosives in devices “that mimic the look of a pregnant woman.” Law enforcement officials have responded that there's a need for aggressive intellience sharing--one of the lessons learned the hard way after the 9-11 terrorist attacks. 

 

Israel to IAEA: N. Korea gave technology

 

North Korea provided nuclear know-how or weapons hardware to six countries in the Middle East, Israel told a nuclear watchdog.

Israel's envoy to the International Economic Energy Agency did not name the nations when he made the accusation Saturday at the 145-nation assembly meeting in Vienna. Iran and Syria, both currently under IAEA investigation, are likely on the list.   

The IAEA unanimously adopted a resolution warning North Korea not to revive its nuclear program.

The assembly has also targeted Israel in draft resolutions sponsored by Arab countries, which are  demanding that the Jewish state join the Non-Proliferation Treaty and submit to IAEA inspections.

 

 

NATO head: World can't stop Iran nukes

 

The secretary-general of NATO said he does not think the world will be able to stop Iran from building a nuclear bomb.

Jaap de Hoop Scheffer told a World Policy Conference in southeast France organized by a French think tank that the United Nations has failed to halt Iran's nuclear program, Reuters reported Monday.

Because of this, Scheffer said, he would never expect Israel to halt its suspected nuclear program.

"As we all know, Israel never admits to what it has, but I do not see very many arguments for the Jewish state to abandon its potential," Reuters quoted him as saying.

Iran claims its nuclear program is strictly for creating domestic electric power.

Ex-CIA Agent: War With Iran May be Coming



 

 

 

No matter who is elected president in November, former CIA officer Robert Baer has no doubt about what will be topping his agenda: Iran.

“Everything is coming to a head in the Middle East,” Baer tells Newsmax. “The days of messing around with Iran are over. We’ve been kicking this can down the road for 30 years, and now we’re at the end of the road.”

The former CIA covert operative asserts that the Islamic nation of 70 million people is building an empire in the Middle East, believing it should be the “citadel of Islam.”

He warns that Iran is probably months, if not weeks, away from war with Israel.

That’s the message of Baer’s new book, “The Devil We Know: Dealing with the New Iranian Superpower.”

Baer came to national prominence after he left the agency in 1997 and wrote the New York Times bestseller “See No Evil,” detailing almost two decades of intrigue he saw firsthand while working for the agency. “See No Evil” and another Baer bestseller, “Sleeping with the Devil,” were the basis for the Oscar-winning film “Syriana.”

In previous books Baer had detailed the threat posed by Saddam Hussein. Now he has his finger clearly pointed at the Iranians.

With Chinese Silkworm missiles pointed toward the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has the ability to cripple the world economy in a matter of minutes by shutting down the flow of oil. That’s even before it gains a nuclear missile.

Like it or not, Baer argues in “The Devil We Know,” Iran is now a superpower with perhaps even more ability to alter America’s destiny than China or Russia. And the threat it poses has been ignored for far too long.

The next president will face three stark choices very soon, Baer says.

He can either stagger toward an eventual war with the Muslim nation or try to negotiate with a new Persian empire, much as previous administrations have done with hostile powers like the Soviet Union, Libya or North Korea.

Or the president can continue to “kick the can,” let Israel handle Iran, and reap the consequences.

“The Israelis are going to tell this to the next administration: ‘You guys have to do something or we got to do it.’ I hear that over and over again from the Israelis,” Baer says.

“And that’s exactly what we don’t want to do: push the Israelis into a corner,’’ he adds. “Because they’ve got guts. We either have to have the b***s to take on Iran and knock them down a peg, or we have to have the guts to have a serious sit-down.”

A combination of analysis and recent reporting from Iraq, Iran and other parts of the Middle East, the book lays out Baer’s argument that Iran should be seen not as a messianic terror group such as al-Qaida, but as a nation with imperial aspirations like the former Soviet Union or China. Historic compulsions inspire Iran’s leaders to re-create a Persian empire throughout the Middle East and Central Asia.

Baer has friends and sources in every corner of the Mideast: from Hezbollah fighters in Lebanon to Sunni sheiks in Iraq. He knows the languages, the cultures and the history of the Middle East quite well.

Iran aspires to be the center of not only Shia Islam but also all Islam, with the goal of eventually taking over the holy sites of Mecca and Medina from Saudi Arabia, Baer says. That process is already pretty far along.

In Lebanon, it has created a state within a state led by the powerful Hezbollah, created by Iranian agents in the 1980s. It has made key alliances with Hamas in the Gaza Strip, has top allies in the Iraqi government, and is pressuring Saudi Arabia to share control of its holy places.

He says these are the natural tendencies of a nation with imperial ambitions -- something that Iranian leaders such as Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani have been quite open about in interviews.

Iran has evolved “from a terrorist state to a calculating Machiavellian power,” Baer says. Despite its religious, messianic, end-of-days rhetoric, its motives are clear-headed and logical once its history is understood.

Simply put, the Iranians are not crazy.

“They are not homicidal maniacs like the Sunni terrorists or Osama Bin Laden,’’ Baer says. “There’s no other way to look at bin Laden: he’s a nihilist. The Iranians have a mission, a goal. You may not meet their terms. You may end up in war with them, but just possibly you might be able to strike a deal with them.”

Says Baer: “I think they want stable markets in oil. I think they want to open up trade. I think they want a big say in Iraq. I think they want to stop the oppression of the Shia in Saudi Arabia. I think they want implementation of (United Nations Security Council) Resolution 242,” which calls for the Israelis to pull back from the West Bank and other territories seized in the Six Day War of 1967.

Baer doesn’t take Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his messianic, Holocaust-denying rhetoric seriously. He points out that, under the Iranian system, the president is largely a figurehead with little power. The real power rests with the country’s supreme leader and a small core of religious leaders in the Council of Guardians and the Assembly of Experts.

“He’s like the queen of England,” Baer says. “That’s how much power he has. In the Iranian system, he’s like a crazy congressman on the left or the right -- nobody pays much attention to him.”

“You have to go on actions, not words,” he adds. “The guy’s nuts. He’s bipolar. He doesn’t have it together. He’s like the Manchurian candidate, and since he doesn’t have his finger on the trigger, I don’t really care much.”

Baer is not saying that U.S. differences with the new Iranian superpower are resolvable. Nor is he saying the U.S. must not push back against Iran in Iraq, Lebanon and elsewhere.

War may be inevitable. But by engaging Iran, there’s a better chance that such a war will be at a time of America’s choosing, not Iran’s, Baer believes. He wants a tough negotiator, someone like former Secretary of State James Baker, to be tasked with talking to Iran.

“If we have to get in a war let’s make sure it’s intentional, not accidental, one that we can control,” Baer says. “But if we have to get into a war with Iran, let’s at least try to determine what the hell is going on in Tehran.”

French Foreign Minister: Israel Will Strike Iran



 

JERUSALEM — Visiting French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner warned that Israel would strike archfoe Iran before it was able to develop nuclear weapons, in comments published on Sunday.

 

 

"I honestly don't believe (a nuclear weapon) will give any immunity to Iran," Kouchner said in an interview conducted in English with Israel's Haaretz newspaper during a two-day visit to the region.

 

"First, because you will hit them before. And this is the danger. Israel has always said it will not wait for the bomb to be ready. I think that (the Iranians) know. Everyone knows."

 

The newspaper's print edition quoted Kouchner as saying that Israel would "eat" Iran, but in a written statement the foreign minister said he had used the word "hit," and that he regretted any "phonetic confusion".

 

Kouchner told Haaretz he hoped tough diplomacy and sanctions would persuade Iran to halt its uranium enrichment programme, which Israel and many Western countries believe is aimed at developing nuclear weapons.

 

"Iran with an atomic bomb is unacceptable at all ... Talking, talking talking, and offering dialogue, sanctions, sanctions, sanctions. Is the alternative to bomb first? I think not."

 

Iran always has insisted that its atomic drive is entirely peaceful. Israel is widely regarded as the only nuclear armed state in the Middle East, but it has never confirmed or denied having an arsenal.

 

Kouchner met outgoing Prime Minister Ehud Olmert and Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni, who is trying to form a new coalition government to succeed Olmert's administration, and was to return to Paris later Sunday.

 

France holds the rotating presidency of the European Union, which has been sponsoring Israeli-Palestinian peace talks as part of the Middle East Quartet, which also includes the United States, the United Nations, and Russia.

 

Kouchner told reporters he is optimistic about the peace process following his talks with Palestinian and Israeli officials and said there was a "very positive vision of peace" on the Israeli side.

 

On Saturday, Kouchner toured the West Bank town of Jenin, the focus of a months-old Palestinian security crackdown that has been praised by Israel and the United States, and met Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas.

 

Kouchner encouraged both sides to press ahead with the peace talks, which were formally relaunched last November, but said they were unlikely to meet their stated goal of a comprehensive agreement by the end of this year.

The American Muslim, terrorism, and Islamic supremacism

At the reliably truth-free publication known as The American Muslim today, Sheila Musaji has published an article, "What exactly is required to be considered a 'moderate' Muslim?" In it, she takes me to task for this statement: "And I wonder...

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Egypt: Christians and Muslims riot in village

According to this story, a Christian was shot dead; also, the reason given for this latest "sectarian" clash was that a Christian woman was selling property to a Muslim. According to this more updated report, however, the real reason is...

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"Hezbollah Brigades of Palestine": the latest manifestation of jihad in Palestine

These groups just keep morphing and multiplying, as recently happened with Hamas and its latest offspring, Jaysh al-Umma, which made clear that "Muslims all over the world were obliged to fight the Israelis and the 'infidels' until only Islam rules...

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Radical Islam growing in Bulgaria

Bulgarian jihad update. "New ‘radical Islam in Bulgaria’ claims," by Clive Leviev-Sawyer for Sofia Echo, October 5:Just days after Sofia hosted a forum on how teaching at schools could be used to forestall radical Islam, a researcher gave an interview...

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Now wait a minute: wasn't "jihad" always an interior spiritual struggle?

Just the other day we saw the artful dissembler Khaleel Mohammed, the "moderate" Muslim who appeared in Obsession and was apparently fine with having done so until it was distributed nationwide, and then denounced the film, claiming that the "true...

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Brooklyn: Litigious Muslim found with Al-Qaeda and chemical weapons material

He was well versed in the courtroom jihad, but apparently had plans to indulge in the more violent variety as well. Meanwhile, how big a story do you think this will be? Will the news networks report that a Muslim...

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Taliban in Saudi-brokered talks with Afghan government?

Just yesterday we had a British commander saying the Taliban couldn't be beaten. And Friday we saw the Taliban saying they were rejecting Karzai's offer to negotiate. The clue to this muddle may come in the Saudi statement about stopping...

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YouTube censors anti-sharia video

It apparently falls in the "hate speech" category. More on this story. "YouTube censors comedian's anti-Sharia video called 'Welcome to Saudi Britain,'" by Martin Beckford for the Telegraph, October 4:Pat Condell, an outspoken atheist and veteran stand-up comic, uploaded the...

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October 7, 2008

Dear Friends,
I encourage you to read the following message and forward it on to your friends and family.
Leo Adler
Director of National Affairs
Friends of Simon Wiesenthal Center for Holocaust Studies 

UPDATE IRAN: NEW BOOK DENYING THE HOLOCAUST RELEASED


Act to Ensure Iran is Barred from UN Security Council Membership

Ahmadinejad embraced by UN PresidentDays after Iran’s President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad delivered his anti-Semitic tirade to the UN General Assembly to cheers and ovation (pictured left with General Assembly President Miguel d'Escoto Brockmann), Islamist students unveiled a new book mocking the Holocaust. In the presence of Iran's Education Minister, tens of thousands chanted "Death to Israel" at the annual 'Jerusalem Day' gathering in Tehran (pictured bottom left).

The Center is therefore redoubling its campaign to bar Iran from becoming a non-permanent member of the Security Council. Last week, letters were hand-delivered to all five permanent members of SWC Task Force at UNthe UN Security Council, pictured left, urging them to publicly condemn Ahmadinejad's anti-Semitic invective and to bar Tehran from another coveted diplomatic appointment.

The new book, "Holocaust" includes anti-Semitic stereotypes and revisionist arguments, casting doubt that the massacre of Jews took place and mocking Holocaust survivors who claimed reparations after World War II. It features dozens of 'commentary’ and cartoons including:

New anti-Semitic book entitled Holocaust  bearded Jews shown leaving and re-entering a gas chamber with a number counter reading 5,999,999

the cover featuring a Jew with a crooked nose dressed in traditional garb drawing outlines of dead bodies on the ground

a question-and-answer reading: "How did the Germans emit gas into chambers while there were no holes on the ceiling?" Answer: "Shut up, you criminal anti-Semite. How dare you ask
Man Walking on Israeli Flagthis question?"

• a patient draped in an Israeli flag on life support breathing Zyklon-B, which was used to kill Jews in the gas chambers

Jews entering an oven in a concentration camp and leaving the other side as gun-toting "terrorists"


Now more than ever, we need to stand together.
If you are not one of the over 15,000 who have already signed the Center’s petition to the UN Secretary General Ban ki-moon, please sign it today. 
If you have, please forward our call to action to your family and friends.

Thank you for your continued vigilance and action.

  

We need your support to continue our work. 
Please click here to support the work of Friends of Simon Wiesenthal Center for Holocaust Studies.
Send inquiries to: information@wiesenthal.net
Or send mail to:
Simon Wiesenthal Center
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This e-mail was sponsored by the Simon Wiesenthal Center, an international
organization with 400,000 members, promoting tolerance and combating antisemitism worldwide.

GAZA CITY, Gaza Strip - Hamas will cease to recognize Mahmoud Abbas as Palestinian president after Jan. 8 and replace him with one of its own leaders, according to a resolution approved by the Islamic movement's legislators Monday.

The Hamas resolution demands that Abbas issue a decree by Wednesday to hold new presidential elections within three months, to coincide with what Hamas says is the end of his term.

Abbas aides said the resolution appeared aimed at stepping up pressure on the president, a political moderate, ahead of a new attempt by Egypt to mediate a power-sharing deal between the rival camps and is certain to deepen the split between Hamas and Abbas' Fatah movement.

"I believe Hamas is coming to this point just to undermine the national dialogue before it starts in Cairo," said Abbas aide Nimer Hamad referring to the Egyptian-brokered talks expected to begin next month.

If Hamas does withdraw recognition from Abbas, it would sever another link between the two sides and also undermine Abbas' legitimacy in the eyes of many Palestinians.

Abbas, the leader of the Fatah movement, was elected president in January 2005. A year later, Hamas defeated Fatah by a landslide in parliamentary elections.

Hamas has been in control of Gaza since its violent takeover of the territory in June 2007, leaving Abbas only in charge of the West Bank.

The Basic Law, a forerunner to a Palestinian constitution, says both president and parliament are elected to four-year terms. Before leaving office, the Fatah parliament passed a law stipulating that future presidential and parliamentary elections be held simultaneously.

However, the Hamas-controlled parliament never amended the Basic Law to include this new clause. As a result, Hamas argues Abbas' term ends in January, while Fatah says he can stay in office an extra year.

The Hamas resolution demands Abbas issue a decree by Wednesday to hold new presidential elections within three months, to coincide with what Hamas says is the end of his term.

If Abbas does not step aside in January, Hamas says it will install deputy parliament speaker Ahmed Bahar of Hamas as Abbas' temporary successor until elections are held.

The job would normally go to the parliament speaker, Abdel Aziz Dueik, but he is in an Israeli jail, along with scores of other Hamas lawmakers from the West Bank. Bahar said Monday he would accept the job, if asked.

The resolution left a loophole, suggesting that Abbas' term could be extended by parliament if deemed to be in the "national interest."

Reconciliation appears increasingly unlikely, since neither side appears to have a compelling interest to share power.

Hamas has consolidated control of Gaza and kept the territory afloat despite a virtual blockade of its borders, while Abbas would risk Western support if he agreed to a partnership with the militants. Hamas is considered a terrorist group by Israel, the U.S. and European Union.

 

By IBRAHIM BARZAK Associated Press Writer

Iran does not believe Israel, US will attack: FM

Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki.
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) Oct 6, 2008
Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki, in an interview published Monday, said his country did not believed Israel or the United States would launch a military strike against Iran over its nuclear program.

Asked in an interview with Newsweek magazine and The Washington Post if he believed there would an Israeli or US attack on Iranian nuclear facilities, Mottaki answered flatly: "No."

He did not elaborate.

At the same time, he welcomed the US decision last July to send one of the top State Department officials, William Burns, to attend negotiations with Iran in Europe, interpreting the move as a realistic step.

"We welcomed the participation by Mr. Burns in the Geneva talks," Mottaki said. "We feel that if this is the real approach taken by the US right now vis-a-vis the nuclear issue, they must continue with such efforts."

The foreign minister said that previously, the administration of President George W. Bush attached conditions to its participation in the talks with Iran.

Burns's presence in Geneva, argued Mottaki, "meant that those were no longer in play."

Analysis: What is happening in Syria?

The site of a deadly bomb blast in Damascus. Photo courtesy AFP.
by Claude Salhani
Washington (UPI) Oct 6, 2008
Syria has long claimed that it is tied to Lebanon in more ways than one. Over the last two weeks this statement has proven to be far more on the money than Syria would have ever imagined -- or hoped for -- as the wave of terrorist attacks that reared its ugly head in Lebanon has now exported itself to Syria.

Terrorist acts in Syria have been rare, but over the past two weeks a number of bombs have exploded in and around the Syrian capital. The government in Damascus remains tight-lipped, as always, when it relates to security matters; however, statements by President Bashar Assad allude to the origin of those attacks as emanating from Salafi groups based around the northern Lebanese port city of Tripoli.

Needless to say, Assad's statements have set off warning bells in Beirut as the pro-Western government of Prime Minister Fouad Siniora looks at the statements from Damascus as well as the recent deployment of about 10,000 Syrian troops backed by armor and rotary-wing aircraft along the Lebanese border with great trepidation, even if the official government line is to tone down those fears.

Speaking to this reporter, a Lebanese government spokesman repeated what the Syrians have been saying, that Syrian troops have deployed to the border area to fight smugglers.

Asked if there was reason to worry, the spokesman told this reporter that the "Syrians are free to deploy their forces on their side of the border." He added, however, that the government in Beirut has asked the Lebanese army to liaise with the Syrian military.

Lebanon has good reason to worry. Syria has long eyed Lebanon as a rebellious province rather than as an independent country. Damascus has yet to open an embassy in Beirut, despite promises by Assad to French President Nicolas Sarkozy made last July when the Syrian president was brought out of years of isolation and invited by Sarkozy to attend the Bastille Day military parade in Paris. Yet, instead of one ambassador arriving in a shinning limousine, there are fears in Beirut that Damascus instead may dispatch several thousand envoys armed with AK-47s and traveling aboard T64 Soviet-era tanks.

How did the security situation deteriorate in Lebanon to this point? Things started going bad for Lebanon on two fronts. First is the growing strength of the Salafi movement in the country, but primarily in the north around the port city of Tripoli. This new development has Syria, which long has battled the Islamists, very worried.

Second is the growing power and influence of Hezbollah and the absence of the Lebanese state's authority in the southern part of the country. This has Israel very worried.

Washington is taking those fears seriously. The Pentagon is preparing to install X band radars in Israel's Negev Desert early next year. The X band radar, once fully installed, would give Israel two or even three times the range in which it could track inbound Iranian and Hezbollah missiles. It also would give Israel the possibility of attacking Iran and Hezbollah without having to worry too much about retaliation.

And if Syria and Israel can agree on any one thing, it most likely would be the fact that the weakness of the Lebanese state and its inability to control its own internal security are detrimental to the security of both Syria and Israel.

Speaking at a conference in Geneva last month organized by the International Institute for Strategic Studies, Maj. Gen. Giora Eiland, a former director of Israel's National Security Council, told delegates attending the meeting that his advice to the Israeli Cabinet was that Syrian troops re-entering Lebanon need not be viewed negatively. His reasoning was the following: With Syria in charge of security in Lebanon, Israel would have a return address to any terrorist activity coming its way across the Lebanese border. Damascus would be liable to retaliation and therefore would ensure that Hezbollah followed the new guidelines. A case in point is the calm that has existed on the Golan Heights since Syria and Israel signed a truce in 1973. Whereas with Hezbollah on its own in south Lebanon, retaliation, as was demonstrated during the Second Lebanon War two summers ago, remains futile.

Having said that, Israel appears to be re-arming its air force with new weapons designed to fight this new type of non-conventional war. Israel is acquiring 25 F-35 fighter jets made by Lockheed Martin. The plane comes in three versions: the conventional type, a carrier type and the VTOL -- vertical take-off and landing. This advanced technology would allow Israel to deploy its aircraft relatively closer to the Lebanese border, worrying about protecting conventional airfields, a difficult task, given that conventional airstrips would be prone to Hezbollah rocket attack.

While a renewed Syrian incursion into Lebanon would be a setback as far as establishing democracy in the Middle East goes, it would address one of Syria's and Israel's major problems.

Of course, Syria might not act on its urge to cross that international frontier into Lebanon without at least a tacit green light from Washington. And just how likely is Washington to turn the other way, given that Siniora's government is considered pro-American?

Suffice it to remember one of Winston Churchill's famous lines: "We have no lasting friends, no lasting enemies, only lasting interests."

The Lebanese have been unable to consider themselves as a unified nation, behaving instead as feuding clans. They have allowed outside political influences to give credence to another saying, this one coming from Latin: "Divide et impera," or divide and rule.

(Claude Salhani is editor of the Middle East Times.)

 

Hamas wants Abbas to call elections

 

Hamas will not recognize Mahmoud Abbas as Palestinian Authority president after Jan. 8.

A resolution approved Tuesday by the ruling Hamas legislators in the Gaza Strip demands that Abbas call for elections to be held in three months, when Hamas says his term is over, the Associated Press reported. Fatah says he has one year left in his term.

Abbas was elected president in January 2005 and his Fatah Party currently controls the West Bank. In 2006, the Islamic Hamas movement won parliamentary elections and in June of the following year took over Gaza.

Hamas says it will install its own temporary president in January if Abbas does not call new elections, according to the AP.

Meanwhile, a senior Hamas delegation, including West Bank Hamas leaders, left for Cairo Tuesday to meet with Egyptian Intelligence Chief Gen. Omar Suleiman and other government officials to seek ways to end the divide between Hamas and Fatah.

 

Israel declassifies Yom Kippur War documents

 

Top Israeli army officials did not know what was happening in the field during the 1973 Yom Kippur War, according to newly declassified documents.

Israel's Defense Ministry declassified documents Tuesday relating to the investigation of failures of the war.

The deliberations of the Agranat Committee established to investigate the conduct of the military and the government during the war, including testimony of senior officers such as Ariel Sharon and Moshe Dayan, were made public nearly 35 years to the day after the outbreak of the war.  

Former Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, who commanded the 53rd Division during the war, told the committee that the higher command "had no idea of what was happening on the ground," according to a report in Ha'aretz.

Sharon also discussed his plan to cross the Suez Canal, which led to Israel's victory.

Dayan's testimony was reminiscent of issues that arose following the 2006 Second Lebanon War, including not calling up reservists right away and nor anticipating a full-scale war.

Hamas offering "Jihad 101" course online

Next, we have the Yahudi-Qatil XLP model, ideal for general mayhem... These comprehensive courses even include mini-tests, with questions such as: "A truck is moving at a rate of 15 meters per second, at a distance of 200 meters,...

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Hamas-linked New Jersey imam wins deportion fight -- uh, not so fast...

''This is vindictive. The implications for relations between our community and the federal government are damaging and far-reaching." Uh huh. Mohammad Qatanani Update: "Imam's victory on deportation from U.S. short-lived," by Elizabeth Llorente for The Record (Hackensack, N.J.), October 3...

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How al-Qaeda recruits

"Broke, drug-addicts" suffering from "weak personalities," "complexes" and "depression"? Or, as they see themselves, mujahidin fi sabil Allah? Here's a look at how al-Qaeda and other Islamists recruit potential jihadists and suicide-bombers from the general population, that is, when...

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Hamas funds being transferred to Israeli Arabs

Yet another example of the difficulty of distinguishing "moderate" Islamic groups from those who simply insist on their moderate credentials. (We've provided a handy set of criteria here.) "Hamas funds being transferred to Israeli Arabs, documents reveal," by Amos Harel...

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Analysis: New FBI investigative guidelines

The new rules are consolidated guidelines from the attorney general on the bureau's domestic operations, merging three previous sets of guidance and providing for the first time a single set of rules governing the full gamut of FBI activities, from criminal investigations to counterintelligence operations and intelligence gathering about and assessment of national security threats.
by Shaun Waterman
Washington (UPI) Oct 6, 2008
Congressional Democrats are calling on the Bush administration to hold off implementing new rules that broaden the FBI's investigative authorities until a new administration can approve them next year.

"It is not appropriate for the current administration to make such sweeping changes to FBI procedures at this late date, only a month before the election," House Judiciary Committee Chairman John Conyers, D-Mich., said in a statement. He said they should be provided "as suggestions (for) the new administration to consider early next year."

The new rules, currently scheduled to come into force on Dec. 1, were published Friday after a contentious process during which the Justice Department engaged in what officials say was an unprecedented consultation effort to hear concerns from lawmakers as well as advocates for privacy and civil liberties.

Officials said Monday the consultation had pushed back the schedule for implementation two months already and that since the rewrite had been initiated at the request of career FBI officials and not political appointees, no further delay would be appropriate.

"The implementation date has been set," department spokesman Brian Roehrkasse told UPI. "It's Dec. 1."

The new rules are consolidated guidelines from the attorney general on the bureau's domestic operations, merging three previous sets of guidance and providing for the first time a single set of rules governing the full gamut of FBI activities, from criminal investigations to counterintelligence operations and intelligence gathering about and assessment of national security threats.

Bureau Director Robert Mueller and Attorney General Michael Mukasey said in a joint statement that the new guidelines "provide more uniform, clearer and simpler rules" designed to help "the FBI to become, among other things, a more flexible and adept collector of intelligence," as recommended by the Sept. 11 Commission and the president's Weapons of Mass Destruction Intelligence Commission.

The guidelines govern the circumstances under which FBI agents are allowed to initiative certain activities -- surveillance, for example, or public records searches -- potentially bringing the bureau's extensive panoply of information-gathering capabilities to bear on an individual or group.

The guidelines redefine a category of FBI activity called "assessment" -- introduced in 2003 as a proactive effort by agents to identify potential terrorist threats or other dangers to national security.

The new guidelines say assessments designed to lead to a criminal investigation can be undertaken without a factual predicate -- evidence that a crime has been committed or is being planned -- or approval from FBI supervisors, except under certain conditions that the FBI will spell out.

According to the guidelines, "The methods authorized in assessments are generally those of relatively low intrusiveness, such as obtaining publicly available information, checking government records, and requesting information from members of the public."

The guidelines give as an example of assessment activities "proactively surfing the Internet to find publicly accessible Web sites and services through which recruitment by terrorist organizations and promotion of terrorist crimes is openly taking place."

But the list of "authorized methods" that can be used by agents conducting assessments includes "observation or surveillance not requiring a court order," the "use and recruit(ment of) human sources" or informants, and "grand jury subpoenas for telephone or electronic mail subscriber information."

Critics said the new rules lowered the bar for agents to target Americans too far. The chairman of the Senate Committee on the Judiciary, Democrat Patrick Leahy of Vermont, said they gave the bureau "broad new powers to conduct surveillance and use other intrusive investigative techniques on Americans without requiring any indication of wrongdoing or any approval even from FBI supervisors."

Leahy said the rules "continue the pattern of this administration of expanding authority to gather and use Americans' private information without protections for privacy or checks to prevent abuse and misuse."

ACLU Legislative Counsel Michael German, himself a former FBI agent, added, "Not since J. Edgar Hoover ran the place has the FBI claimed the right to investigate American citizens without a factual predicate," calling it "extraordinarily dangerous."

"Any FBI agent can launch one of these assessments against anyone, so long as it is for (what the guidelines call) an 'authorized purpose.' There is no requirement for any factual connection between the target and that purpose."

He said the absence of a requirement for approval from FBI supervisors was "stunning ¿¿ even from a management point of view," given the bureau's record of mismanaging other authorities it had been granted, such as National Security Letters.

He warned that the new rules could give rise to a series of open-ended investigations based on hunches or grudges that would be "a tremendous waste of resources, aside for the potential for abuse" of civil liberties and constitutional rights.

At a briefing about an earlier draft of the guidelines last month, a senior FBI official described the way that the proactive assessment process would work, citing the hypothetical example of a university that had defense research contracts in an area that was known was the target of foreign efforts at intelligence collection and technology theft.

With the cooperation of the university authorities and the State Department, the local FBI chief finds that there are a large number of students from a country that "has a history of stealing technology from the United States."

Under existing guidelines, the official said, agents would be limited to operating overtly and tapping current informants about what they already know. "You can't recruit a new source or task him, or task any of your existing sources against any of these students, because recruiting and tasking sources under the (old) guidelines is prohibited unless you've got a preliminary investigation open," and "to open an investigation, you have to have information or an allegation that the person is or may be a terrorist or a spy or a criminal. We don't have that. All we know is they're from a foreign country."

German said the way the guidelines were written continued to raise concerns about the potential for race and religion to be used as factors in deciding whom to investigate.

"It would have been very simple to include ¿¿ a clear ban" on the use of race or religion, he said, noting instead that the guidelines refer to earlier rules on racial profiling, which themselves have exclusions for national security investigations. "This convoluted language ¿¿ leaves the impression that (the rules) are designed to create a loophole."

Iran could spark Mideast nuclear arms race: British FM

British Foreign Secretary David Miliband. Photo courtesy AFP.
by Staff Writers
London (AFP) Oct 7, 2008
British Foreign Secretary David Miliband warned Tuesday of a nuclear arms race in the Middle East if Iran was allowed to press ahead unchecked with a uranium enrichment programme.

Speaking a day after Iran's nuclear negotiator protested over the West's attitude to Tehran's atomic programme, he said Britain was "very concerned" about Iran's refusal to be frank with the International Atomic Energy Authority Agency (IAEA), the UN's nuclear watchdog.

"We are making a serious offer to Iran for economic, cultural, and scientific co-operation which I think is the way forward," he said in an exchange with lawmakers in the House of Commons.

"But it's not a way forward while they continue to defy not just the UN Security Council but also the (IAEA) which has continuing serious concerns about their programme and the refusal of the Iranian government to come clean about it."

He added: "We must be insistent that a uranium enrichment programme, in defiance not just of the UN Security Council but also of Iran's obligations under the non-proliferation treaty, is a serious danger not just to stability in the Middle East but in the world.

"The Middle East has enough problems without a nuclear arms race," he added.

On Monday Iran's nuclear negotiator Said Jalili sent a protest to EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana over the West's attitude to his country's atomic programme.

In the letter he complained that the West's "approach has harmed the constructive process of negotiations between the two parties," according to a Iranian official, who declined to be named.

The UN Security Council has slapped three rounds of sanctions on Iran for refusing to suspend uranium enrichment, a process which can be used to make the fissile material for a nuclear bomb.

Iran says it has a right to enrich uranium to make nuclear fuel as a signatory to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), and denies allegations of seeking atomic weapons.

iRobot Receives Order From TARDEC For iRobot Warrior 700

The iRobot Warrior 700
by Staff Writers
Bedford MA (SPX) Oct 08, 2008
iRobot has announced that the company has received a $3.75 million research and development contract from the U.S. Army Tank-Automotive Research, Development and Engineering Center (TARDEC), the nation's laboratory for advanced military automotive technology.

Work under this contract will result in the delivery of two iRobot Warrior 700 platforms.

A powerful and rugged robot, the iRobot Warrior can perform a variety of critical missions such as evaluating danger zones and inaccessible areas, providing real-time video, audio and sensor readings to warfighters and SWAT teams.

The robot will feature an advanced digital architecture and a multi-mission chassis that supports up to 150-pound (68 kg) payloads.

"We are confident that the iRobot Warrior will secure a strong foothold within infantry, first responders and combat engineers," said Joe Dyer, president of iRobot Government and Industrial Robots.

"The Warrior is another example of iRobot's product line expansion, which continues to evolve as the need for unmanned ground vehicles grows worldwide."

NKorea fires short-range missiles: Yonhap

"North Korea appears to have fired KN-02 or Styx missiles into the international sea from North Korean waters."
by Staff Writers
Seoul (AFP) Oct 8, 2008
North Korea has fired two short-range missiles into international waters in the Yellow Sea as part of a routine military drill, South Korea's Yonhap news agency said early Wednesday, quoting a defence source.

The missile launch in waters adjoining China comes amid intense efforts to save a nuclear disarmament agreement which is in danger of collapsing because of a dispute over verification of the North's declared nuclear programme.

"We understand that North Korea fired about two missiles in the Yellow Sea in the afternoon of the seventh (of October)," the unnamed source was quoted by Yonhap as saying.

"It seems that the missiles were fired as part of their routine drill."

Yonhap said it was the first missile launch by the North since March.

"North Korea had designated an off-limit zone for vessels in the Yellow Sea before it fired missiles," the source said.

"North Korea appears to have fired KN-02 or Styx missiles into the international sea from North Korean waters."

The drill follows reports last week that the North has been upgrading a missile launch site on its east coast in preparation to test a new long-range missile.

The North alarmed its neighbours by test-launching a Taepodong-1 from the Musudan-ri launch site on the east coast in 1998 over Japan. It test-launched a Taepodong-2 from the same site in 2006 but the missile failed.

The latest missile launch comes after chief US nuclear negotiator Christopher Hill visited Pyongyang last week to try to rescue the six-nation disarmament deal.

North Korea is bridling at a US-inspired verification plan which reportedly calls for the secretive communist state to give access to undeclared suspected nuclear facilities and to let inspectors take samples of material.

Pyongyang accepted the aid-for-disarmament deal in February 2007, just four months after staging a nuclear weapons test.

It shut down its Yongbyon nuclear complex in July last year and began disabling it in November. And in June it handed over a declaration of nuclear activities to China.

But now the North is angry that the US failed to respond by removing it from a terrorism blacklist, as required under the accord. It says it will soon begin work to restart a plutonium reprocessing plant.

Before delisting occurs, the US demands that the North agree on inspection procedures to ensure it is telling the truth in its declaration.

The North says verification is not part of this stage of the agreement, and accuses Washington of seeking Iraq-style "house searches" for atomic material.

Outside View: Oil price Iran attack factor

disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only
by Nick Mottern
Washington DC (UPI) Oct 09, 2008
If the Bush administration is hawkish enough to attack Iran or support an Israeli attack before it leaves office, the drop in world oil prices to the $80 to $90 a barrel range may give it enough of a cushion against the consequence of skyrocketing oil prices.

The administration may gamble that a quick, tightly targeted strike against Iran's nuclear facilities would bring only a brief, modest spike in oil prices, with the price settling back down in a week's time given the apparent downward trend in world oil demand.

The oil price trend must be of significant concern to the Iranian government that not only depends on oil as its economic mainstay but has seen in high oil prices a measure of protection against attack.

In June, when oil hit $139 a barrel, British newspaper The Telegraph reported that Iran's Maj. Gen. Mohammed Ali Jafari said in an Iranian newspaper that any military action against Iran would mean "the oil price will rise very considerably, and this is a factor deterring the enemies."

The Telegraph noted that "about 40 percent of all world oil exports flow through the 35-mile wide Strait of Hormuz, banking along its northern side by Iran. With world oil supplies already constricted, any Iranian action could push energy prices through the roof."

Iran's oil price protection factor is now significantly diminished, given global economic prospects, compared to several months ago when oil went above $130 a barrel and $200 per barrel oil was considered an immediate possibility.

Noting that oil prices have dropped nearly 40 percent since a high of $147 a barrel in July, British newspaper The Guardian reported on Oct. 7: "Oil demand in the United States, the world's largest energy consumer, has dived this year under the weight of record prices, while consumption in Japan and Europe has also weakened.

"There are now worries," the report continued, "about whether China, where rapid economic growth helped trigger oil's rise from $20 a barrel in 2002, can keep delivering consistent growth."

An attack against Iran is off the radar of the U.S. media, now focused on economic shocks and the presidential campaign.

However, French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner told Haaretz, the Israeli daily, in an interview on Oct. 3 during a visit to Israel: "I know that some people in Israel and in the army are preparing a military solution or not a solution but a military attack (on Iran). ¿¿ This is not, according to my opinion, the solution."

While he said that "Iran with an atomic bomb is not acceptable at all," he wants to use diplomacy and sanctions to persuade Iran not to develop a nuclear weapon. "Talking, talking, talking and offering dialogue, sanctions, sanctions, sanctions is the alternative to bomb first," he said.

Iran maintains that its nuclear program is intended solely for generating electricity.

An Israeli attack on Iran with U.S. backing might be viewed within the Bush administration as timely, not only with respect to oil prices but the presidential campaign. Such an attack would immediately turn public attention from economic issues to the military enforcement of foreign policy, a shift that might favor John McCain.

Barack Obama quite likely would have to support the attack, having said that Iran cannot be allowed to possess a nuclear weapon. But he might be portrayed as "weak" on the Iran issue because he has said he prefers to address Iran's nuclear program with negotiations rather than military force.

The worsening economic situation in the United States and the world that is favoring the Obama campaign and pressing down on oil prices also may be increasing a sense of urgency in Washington and Israel to act while the Bush administration has control of U.S. forces.

(Nick Mottern is director of ConsumersforPeace.org.)

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)

EU scientists launch new, 'unbreakable' encryption system

File image.
by Staff Writers
Vienna (AFP) Oct 8, 2008
A new encryption system, which its creators say is unbreakable, got its first test run Wednesday in Vienna, scientists from the European Union project SECOQC announced.

The successful demonstration, developed by the EU's Development of a Global Network for Secure Communication based on Quantum Cryptography (SECOQC) paves the way for it to be used in ordinary communications networks.

"Potential users of this network, such as government agencies, financial institutions or companies with distributed subsidiaries, can encrypt their confidential communication with the highest level of security," said a SECOQC statement.

This kind of network should be commercialised within three years, said the project's Austrian coordinator, Christian Monyk.

The technology works by sending streams of light particles, or photons -- and that, say the scientists who created it, means it is entirely secure, as any eavesdropping would leave traces and immediately be detected.

Encrypted data, including a videoconference, was transmitted via standard optical fibre to six different centres, some as far as 82 kilometres (50 miles).

The demonstration took place during a three-day international conference in the Austrian capital to demonstrate the system.

Until now, quantum cryptography has been used simply to transmit information from one point to another, rather than as part of a network.

It is the result of four and half years of work by 41 partners, mostly universities and research centres, from 12 European countries.

Led by the Austrian Research Centers, the project was sponsored by one of the fathers of quantum physics, Anton Zeilinger from the University of Vienna.

Scientists from Austria, Belgium, Britain, Canada, Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Sweden and Switzerland all participated in the 11.4-million-euro SECOQC project.

VIPeR Robot Demonstrates Exceptional Agility

The VIPeR robot demonstrates its stair climbing ability. Credit: Elbit Systems.
by Staff Writers
Fort Worth TX (SPX) Oct 09, 2008
Elbit Systems of America demonstrated the capabilities of Elbit Systems' unique VIPeR Robot at the Ground Robotics Obstacle Course during the recent Modern Day Marine Conference held in Quantico, VA.

The specially designed obstacle course included a number of challenges aimed at testing small ground robots that might be used by marines and soldiers in the field. The Elbit Systems' VIPeR Robot was among eight different systems that faced this test.

The obstacle course included areas with different surfaces - deep sand, small gravel, brush and debris, even speed bumps. Each of the robots had to traverse each of these types of ground as well as mounting stairs and negotiating a tunnel.

The VIPeR has a unique capability to change between wheels and tracks on the fly, permitting it to speed through different obstacles. The system also features an articulated "tail" that provides balance and helps it get out of situations that might trap other robots.

Spectators at the course remarked on how the VIPeR could change configuration to meet the different conditions and how the robot's versatile "tail" allowed it to recover from upsets and climb stairs. The Elbit Systems team was the only team to bring their robot and all of its control systems to the course in a single backpack.

Raanan Horowitz, Elbit Systems of America's President and Chief Executive Officer, stated: "We appreciate the opportunity to demonstrate Elbit Systems' advanced robotic technologies and systems. Elbit Systems has made a significant investment in developing and fielding unmanned systems for air, ground and marine applications. The VIPeR provides unique mobility and agility with small logistics footprint, which is critical for future robotic applications."

Sky Warrior UAS Completes First Automatic Takeoffs And Landings

The Sky Warrior UAS for the Extended Range/Multi-Purpose UAS Program provides the U.S. Army with a long-endurance, persistent ISR and tactical strike capability featuring a heavy-fuel engine for increased supportability in the field. Credit: GA-ASI.
by Staff Writers
Washington DC (SPX) Oct 09, 2008
General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, along with its "Team Sky Warrior" partners AAI Corporation and L-3 Communication Systems-West, have announced the successful first-attempted automatic takeoffs and landings of a Sky Warrior(r) UAS controlled from the AAI-developed Extended Range/Multi-Purpose (ER/MP) One System(r) Ground Control Station (OSGCS).

Three automatic landings were successfully executed at GA-ASI's El Mirage Flight Operations Center in Adelanto, Calif., on August 29, followed by three successful automatic takeoffs on September 26.

GA-ASI's Sky Warrior aircraft was under full line-of-sight command and control through the L-3 Communication Systems-West Tactical Common Data Link (TCDL).

Automatic takeoff and landing utilizing TCDL represents a significant technical advancement in ER/MP UAS Program development and an important step in the maturation of diverse technologies prior to fielding the system, which is expected in July 2009.

"Control of Sky Warrior from the ER/MP One System GCS marks another successful milestone in the fielding of the aircraft system and in meeting the Army's requirement for increased autonomous operation," said Thomas J. Cassidy, Jr., president, Aircraft Systems Group, General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, Inc.

"GA-ASI's prior ATLS [automatic takeoff and landing system] testing on our own Predator aircraft and GCS paved the way for these first successful takeoffs and landings using the OSGCS and TCDL."

NKorea developing nuke warhead: Seoul official

Rice insists NKorea meet verification standards
US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice insisted Wednesday that North Korea meet proper standards for verifying its nuclear disarmament as she pursued efforts to break a deadlock in negotiations. Rice and other officials meanwhile kept a tight lid on the upshot of talks that US negotiator Christopher Hill held with North Korean officials last week in a bid to break the deadlock. "We are continuing to work on it. This is an issue of whether the verification protocol meets our standards," Rice told reporters when asked if North Korea and the United States had reached a compromise in the talks. "And so I will get back to you when we have something," Rice said. Washington is working on a compromise deal by letting Pyongyang first give China a plan to verify its disarmament efforts rather than to all five negotiating partners, a US State Department official told reporters last week. The official, who asked not to be named, said the original idea was for North Korea to give the plan to South Korea, China, Japan, Russia and the United States rather than just to its ally China. He said he expected Hill to make such a proposal to the North Koreans. Outlining the sequence of steps, The Washington Post reported that after the United States provisionally removes the North from a terrorism blacklist, China would announce North Korea's acceptance of the verification plan. This would allow Pyongyang to assert that the delisting occurred before the verification plan was in place. Under a six-nation deal reached in 2007, North Korea began disabling -- with a view toward total disarmament -- its nuclear weapons programs in exchange for energy and other aid. Pyongyang accuses Washington of breaching the deal by failing to remove it from the blacklist. The United States says the North must first agree to outside verification of a nuclear declaration it submitted in June. The North counters that verification is not part of this stage of the agreement.
by Staff Writers
Seoul (AFP) Oct 8, 2008
North Korea is working to develop a nuclear warhead for a long-range missile, South Korea's top military officer said Wednesday, a day after the communist state tested its short-range weaponry.

"I understand that North Korea is working to develop a small nuclear warhead which can be loaded into a missile," Kim Tae-Young, chairman of the joint chiefs of staff, was quoted by Yonhap news agency as telling legislators.

Kim said he could not say whether the North had already succeeded in developing such a warhead. His office confirmed the comments.

North Korea, which has been pursuing a nuclear programme for decades and tested an atomic weapon in October 2006, is long thought to have been trying to produce a nuclear warhead.

But public confirmation by a top Seoul official is unusual.

The chairman of the joint chiefs of staff was also quoted as saying the North could make six or seven warheads, given an estimated plutonium stockpile of 40 kilos (88 pounds).

Two years ago, Seoul's then-defence minister Yoon Kwang-Ung said the North was believed to be developing nuclear warheads for its missiles but needed "a few more years" before it could produce them.

A six-nation nuclear disarmament deal is currently close to collapse, with the North vowing to soon resume the processing of bomb-making plutonium.

Top US negotiator Christopher Hill visited Pyongyang last week and reported "very substantive" talks, but no details have emerged.

On Tuesday, the North test-fired short-range missiles into the Yellow Sea.

A South Korean defence ministry official called the launches "part of routine military exercises" but gave no details.

Local media reports say one or two missiles were fired -- either surface-to-ship KN-01 or KN-02 types or Russian-designed ship-to-ship Styx.

The North has carried out such short-range launches many times before, but analysts say they are sometimes timed to make a political point.

The disarmament deal is deadlocked because of a dispute over verification of the North's nuclear programme.

The secretive communist state is angry at a US-inspired verification plan which reportedly calls for it to open up undeclared suspected nuclear facilities and to let inspectors take samples of material.

The North has hundreds of short-range missiles, many of which are stationed close to the border within easy striking range of Seoul.

It has also developed long-range weaponry capable of threatening countries outside the Korean peninsula. In 1998 it test-launched a Taepodong-1 missile which overflew Japan, sparking alarm in Tokyo.

A Taepodong-2 was test-launched in July 2006 from the same site at Musudan-ri on the east coast but failed.

A news report last week said the North was upgrading the site in preparation for a test-launch of a new long-range missile.

South Korea's Dong-A Ilbo newspaper said intelligence authorities believe the North is preparing to test-fire an advanced model of the Taepodong-2 which could theoretically hit parts of the US west coast.

It said the modified model would have a range of 10,000 kilometres (6,200 miles) compared to 6,700 kilometres currently.

In September South Korean Defence Minister Lee Sang-Hee confirmed US reports that the North is building a new launch site for long-range missiles on its west coast.

















Secretary of Defense Robert Gates: "I have been involved in the search for the elusive Iranian moderate for 30 years"

A most illuminating insight into the wishful thinking that guides and has long guided so much of American policy. "Giving Until It Hurts," by Barry Rubin for the GLORIA Center, October 8 (thanks to Andrew Bostom): In response to a...

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CAIR a front group with an "inconspicuous Islamist hue"

Check this man for an "inconspicuous Islamist hue" Those are the words of Shukri Abu Baker, a defendant at the Holy Land Foundation trial, which is underway now after a mistrial last summer. "FBI: CAIR is a front group,...

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Lawful jihad continues to flourish in prisons

Jihadist who declared the "time for jihad is now" and wanted to "smoke a judge," declared at his recent sentencing that "he no longer believes in violent jihad and has 'adopted more positive Muslim beliefs.'" Now he is the imam...

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Iraq: Top al-Qaeda female suicide bomber recruiter arrested

Vacancy-announcement: "Iraq arrests top Qaeda female suicide bomber recruiter," from AFP, October 7:BAGHDAD, Iraq (AFP) Â Iraqi forces arrested on Tuesday a woman suspected of heading up the recruitment of female suicide bombers in Iraq, including that of a teenager...

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Spencer: Obama Wages War on Freedom of Speech

"See those divisive Islamophobes, Barack? They must be silenced!" In Human Events today I discuss a recent disquieting initiatives by our anointed Next President, and their implications: Last week the Governor of Missouri, Matt Blunt, issued a statement on...

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Mosul: Three Christians killed in 24 hours

More of the same, in an update on this story. "Iraq: 'Three Christians killed in 24 hours'," from AdnKronos International, October 8: Mosul, 8 Oct. (AKI) - Three Christians have been killed in the past 24 hours in the northern...

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Sharia courts coming to Scotland

So much for fighting and dying for "freedom"... Suppose it's only natural, since down south, in England, sharia courts are the latest rage in "diversity." "Sharia courts set to bring Muslim law to bear in Scottish cities," by Shan...

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Taliban beheading "tribal elders"

Tribal elders What was that again about the Taliban breaking away from al-Qaeda and seeking peace? "Taliban militants behead four in Pakistan," from AFP, October 11::KHAR, Pakistan (AFP) Â Taliban rebels decapitated four pro-government tribal elders in a Pakistan...

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Islamist enemies of US gloat over financial crisis

Surely Osama bin Laden (if he's alive), is celebrating, since, for years he has been making the following analogy based on the former USSR: "We, alongside the mujahedeen, bled Russia for 10 years until it went bankrupt and was forced...

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Israel: Mosque loudspeakers used to rally Muslim rioters in Acre

See the second story below for more on what turned an isolated incident into full-blown riots. "Acre riots continue despite massive police presence," by Yaakov Lappin for the Jerusalem Post, Oct. 12 (thanks to Dumbledoresarmy): Despite police assurances that the...

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Muslims attack gay men in Washington, saying if the victims were in their country, they'd be stoned to death

Sharia Alert from...the District of Columbia. (Thanks to fellow Dirty Dozen member Debbie Schlussel.)...

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UK: "Minister for Race Relations" attacks Sharia courts

"Sadiq Khan, whose comments will have added impact because he is a Muslim himself, has also warned that the growing number of tribunals based on Islamic codes could entrench discrimination against women." Uh, yeah. "Muslims rebuffed over sharia courts," by...

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Iran to hang a man for the crime of being a Christian

While in Iraq Christians are being offered the opportunity to convert, pay the jizya or die, in Iran only the last of those options seems to be in play. "Hanged for being a Christian in Iran," by Alasdair Palmer in...

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900 Christian families leave Mosul after 13 murders in 2 weeks

More on this story. "Christians flee Iraqi city after killings, threats, officials say," by Mohammed Tawfeeq for CNN, October 11: BAGHDAD, Iraq (CNN) -- At least 900 Christian families have fled Mosul in the past week, terrified by a series...

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BAGHDAD - Cars and trucks loaded with suitcases, mattresses and passengers cradling baskets stuffed with clothes lined up at checkpoints Monday to flee Mosul, a day after the 10th killing of an Iraqi Christian in the northern city so far this month.

Nobody has claimed responsibility for the attacks, but local leaders have blamed al-Qaida in Iraq, which maintains influence in the region despite an ongoing U.S.-Iraqi military operation launched in May.

The latest victim was a music store owner who was gunned down Sunday evening at work in an attack that left his teenage nephew wounded, according to police and a neighbor.

Farques Batool, in his 50s, had refused to join other Christians fleeing the city because he needed to care for his wife, a daughter, his mother and the family of his dead brother, his neighbor Raid Bahnam said.

Batool's family finally fled Mosul after his death, leaving his wounded nephew in the hospital.

With the killing of at least 10 Christians this month alone, according to police, thousands have abandoned their homes in Mosul to seek refuge in churches and with relatives in neighboring villages or in relatively safe Kurdish-controlled areas nearby.

Faraj Ibraham, a 54-year-old power station employee who moved in with relatives in the village of Burtulla, said he was worried about his two daughters who had to leave school.

"We left in a hurry and they forgot to bring even their books. It will be a heavy burden for them even if we get to return home soon," he said.

Islamic extremists have frequently targeted Christians and other religious minorities since the 2003 U.S. invasion, forcing tens of thousands to flee Iraq - although attacks slowed with a nationwide decline in violence.

The reason for the latest surge in attacks was unclear. But it coincides with strong lobbying by Christian leaders for parliament to restore a quota system to give religious minorities seats on provincial councils that will be chosen by voters before the end of January.

U.N. special representative Staffan de Mistura strongly condemned "the spike in violence that has targeted the Christian communities in recent days" and warned the attacks were seeking to "fuel tensions and exacerbate instability at a critical time."

Religious leaders called for action.

Chaldean Archbishop Louis Sako of the northern Iraqi city of Kirkuk denounced "a campaign of liquidation and violence, with political objectives."

Another churchman, Monsignor Shiemon Warduni, appealed to "all the brother Muslims in Mosul, Baghdad and in Iraq" to do everything possible to end "this painful campaign," according to Vatican Radio.

Local organizations, meanwhile, appealed for help as they faced a flood of internal refugees.

"Thousands of people fled virtually overnight, many with only the clothes on their back," said Jamil Abdul-Ahad, the head of an interfaith Christian council in Mosul that has been distributing blankets and food aid to the internal refugees.

Iraq's government sent police reinforcements, and patrols were stepped up in Christian communities.

For many Christians, this was not enough.

"Our situation needs active work, not just media propaganda from government officials," Abdul-Ahad said. "The government should protect Christians in Mosul and safeguard their rights."

The governor of Ninevah province, which includes Mosul, said Christians began fleeing in force last week after seven Christians were reported killed.

"Fear spread because of threats from al-Qaida and 'Takfiris' (Sunni extremists) toward Christians and the assassinations of some of them," Gov. Duraid Mohammed Kashmoula said.

Bashar Jirjis Habash, the secretary of the committee for Christian affairs in the nearby town of Qaraqosh, said some families began arriving there after receiving threats in early September as the Islamic fasting month of Ramadan got under way.

There were conflicting reports on the number of Christians who have fled the city, although local officials said there were fewer leaving on Monday.

The International Organization for Migration, an intergovernmental humanitarian group based in Switzerland, estimated that at least 829 families had been displaced and said Iraqi officials were asking for tents and plastic sheeting for possible camps to house them all.

One senior government official in Mosul, Jawdat Ismaeel, said the latest figures show that 1,092 families, or some 4,400 people, have fled the city.

The ongoing military operation in Mosul began in May after the Iraqi army proved itself in sharp fighting against Shiite extremists in the southern city of Basra.

In an interview published Monday by The Times of London, Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki said Iraqi forces had performed so well in Basra that the 4,100 British troops in southern Iraq were no longer needed to provide security, although some should stay to help in training.

"Definitely, the presence of this number of British soldiers is no longer necessary. We thank them for the role they have played, but I think that their stay is not necessary for maintaining security and control," al-Maliki said.

In London, a spokesman for the Ministry of Defense agreed that Britain's military role was shifting from fighting to training and that al-Maliki had "acknowledged this important mentoring and training role."

---

Associated Press writers Hamid Ahmed, Bushra Juhi and Mazin Yahya in Baghdad and AP staff in the Mosul area contributed to this report.

 

By KIM GAMEL Associated Press Writer

JERUSALEM - Prime Minister-designate Tzipi Livni's Kadima Party initialed a partial agreement Monday on bringing the Labor Party into a new governing coalition, but several issues remained to be settled before a formal pact, a Labor official said.

Livni also will need to attract support from smaller parties to form a new government to replace the one headed by former Kadima leader Ehud Olmert, who resigned as prime minister under the cloud of a corruption investigation

If Livni fails to put together a coalition in the coming weeks, early elections would have to be called, further disrupting Israel's peace negotiations with the Palestinians.

Lior Avnon, a spokeswoman for Labor, said her party's leader, Defense Minister Ehud Barak, and Livni would try to produce a final agreement at a meeting Tuesday evening. She did not give any details on the unresolved issues.

Labor would be Kadima's key partner in any coalition and a deal would make it easier for Livni to bring in the ultra-Orthodox Shas Party and reach a majority in parliament.

Kadima holds 29 seats in the 120-member Knesset, while Labor has 19. Shas has 12 and the other partner in the former coalition, the Pensioners Party, has 4. A grouping of those four would produce a 64-seat bloc.

Livni, the foreign minister in the previous government, received formal approval to try to form a new government Sept. 22, starting the clock to put together a Cabinet within 42 days. If there was no coalition at that point, elections would have to be held within 90 days.

Livni, 50, once an agent of the Mossad spy agency, has pledged to pursue peace with the Palestinians and Syria, following up negotiations started by Olmert. She would be Israel's first female prime minister in more than three decades, since Golda Meir.

The leader of the hawkish opposition Likud Party, former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, wants elections to be called, encouraged by polls that say he could beat Livni and Barak.

Olmert and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas pledged to try for a peace accord by January, but negotiations have yielded little apparent progress and both sides have expressed skepticism the target could be met. Israel's political turmoil adds to the doubt.

Israel has also had several rounds of indirect peace talks with Syria, resuming contacts that were broken off in 2000.

 

By KARIN LAUB Associated Press Writer

SEOUL, South Korea - The first photos of North Korean leader Kim Jong Il released in two months show him in a setting very similar to photographs from August.

And the verdant background looks more like summer than autumn, adding to uncertainty about Kim's health after reports he underwent brain surgery.

North Korea released the undated still photos and video frame grabs Saturday accompanying a report by North Korean television that Kim visited a military unit. They were the first photos of Kim published since Aug. 14; and in both sets of pictures he wears his trademark dark sunglasses and a khaki jumpsuit.

"They didn't appear to have been taken recently," Kim Yong-hyun, a North Korea expert at Seoul's Dongguk University, said Monday of the pictures carried by the North's official Korean Central News Agency. "To me, it looked like they were taken in June or July."

The 66-year-old communist leader disappeared from public view in mid-August and failed to make appearances on two national holidays - leading to speculation he was seriously ill. American and South Korean officials said he suffered a stroke and had brain surgery; North Korea has denied he is ailing.

One of the photos released Saturday shows Kim surrounded by uniformed soldiers against a backdrop that appears virtually identical to the photos from August - sand-colored buildings with window frames painted in turquoise. The report said he visited female soldiers attached to a unit identified by the number 821. It did not say when or where the inspection took place

He was also shown inspecting female troops in the Aug. 14 photos. The number of the military unit identified by KCNA at the time was 1319.

South Korea's Hankook Ilbo daily, which noted similarities between the two sets of photos, said unit 821 was in Gangwon province and that the unit shown in the pictures published in August was not far away.

In the weekend photos, the grass and trees in the background appear far too green for autumn on the Korean peninsula, casting doubt that they were taken recently. Foliage in South Korea has begun showing a tinge of fall, with yellowing leaves mixed with green. Autumn arrives even earlier in North Korea.

For North Korea watchers, the photos released over the weekend raise more questions about Kim's health - as well as the motive and timing of the publication. The images came out before the United States removed North Korea from its list of states that sponsor terrorism, tempering rising tensions over the North's nuclear development.

Kim disappeared from view at the same time his country stopped dismantling its nuclear program under an international disarmament accord. The North was angered by the U.S. refusal to remove it from the terror sponsors list, long a demand of the communist regime.

The North Korean leader has long been believed to suffer from diabetes and heart disease. The latest images released showed no sign Kim was ill or had brain surgery.

He was shown viewing troops in training, clapping and talking to them while looking around their barracks dotted with red-and-white slogans urging loyalty to him.

His bouffant hair remained as puffy as before and there was no change in his pot belly. He also appeared to have no problem walking and using both his arms.

Brain surgery usually involves shaving off of at least some hair and results in some paralysis in many cases.

"Looking at his hands, arms and facial appearances in the still pictures, he doesn't appear to have had any problems," said Myoung C. Lee, a Seoul neurologist. "It's doubtful if they were taken recently, but it's all guesswork."

South Korean newspapers also said the pictures do not appear to be recent.

"Grass and trees in the photos show the typical sight of a summer landscape, though it is time that autumn leaves are visible in North Korea," the daily Kukmin Ilbo said.

The paper also said South Korean intelligence had seen no unusual movements where the military unit Kim reportedly visited is located, as would be expected had he visited.

South Korean officials declined to comment on the photos.

"We're keeping a close watch on Chairman Kim Jong Il's activity," said Kim Ho-nyeon of the Unification Ministry in charge of monitoring the North.

Hong Hyun-ik, a North Korea analyst at the security think tank Sejong Institute, said he also believes the latest pictures must have been taken earlier, because they were "too green" in the background and Kim appeared "too healthy."

Still, the North's release of the pictures should not be taken as evidence that Kim's health has deteriorated, he said.

"Kim Jong Il cannot appear in public unless he is in perfect shape," the analyst said. "I think North Korea released the pictures to show its people that their supreme leader is up and going, as the regime prepares to use its removal from the U.S. terrorism list as propaganda for the leader."

Kim, the Dongguk University professor, said the images appeared to be intended not only for the North Korean people, but for U.S. audiences.

"Would the United States have removed North Korea from the terrorism list if Kim Jong Il's health is serious?" he asked rhetorically. "I think the North must have felt the need to put an end to speculation about his health ahead of its removal from the terror list."

The analyst said he believes Kim is on the road to recovery and is likely to make an appearance in the near future in a way that would leave no question about his health, such as meetings with foreign diplomats.

 

By JAE-SOON CHANG Associated Press Writer

PESHAWAR, Pakistan - A 20-year-old American man was arrested late Monday at a checkpoint near the Afghan border in a tribal region where Pakistani troops are fighting Taliban and al-Qaida militants, police said.

Officers were investigating what the man was doing in the border area, which is believed to be a possible hiding place for Osama bin Laden and other foreign extremists, said one officer, Pir Shahab.

He said the man - identified on his passport as Juddi Kenan - did not have permission to be in the region as is required by Pakistani law. He was arrested at a checkpoint trying to enter Mohmand agency, Shahab said.

"He is holding an American passport, which shows him as a resident of Florida," Shahab said.

Another police official, Marjan Khan at the station in Sarrokali, said the man was wearing traditional Pakistani clothes and appeared to be a civilian "He has told us that he was a student at a community college in Florida, and wanted to enter the tribal region to see a friend." Khan said the man carried a laptop and a travelling bag, adding that he had been shifted to an unknown place for more questioning, also by intelligence agencies.

A U.S. embassy spokesman said he had no information on the arrest.

Asked whether he was believed to be a journalist, a tourist, a researcher, or a suspected militant, Shahab said: "These are the questions we are trying to investigate."

Militants in the tribal regency are blamed for rising attacks in Pakistan and Afghanistan.

Pakistani authorities often claim to kill or arrest foreign extremists, mostly from Afghanistan, the Middle East and Chechnya, in the area.

 

The Associated Press

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